Our weather pattern will turn quite active this week with a couple chances for rain and some strong winds. First and foremost, the end of the weekend looks very nice tonight. You’ll need the jacket as temperatures fall through the 40s and eventually end up near freezing again Monday morning. But clear skies are expected for this evening and most of the night.
Clouds will increase quickly early Monday morning as an area of low pressure passes by to our southeast. This little system will funnel some moisture up in our direction bringing a good shot at rain after 1 p.m. tomorrow afternoon. It looks like the evening commute will be wet so prepare for it to be a little extra slow. (Definite case of the Mondays) Highs tomorrow will be muted due to the clouds and rain, barely getting to 50 degrees.
Expect off and on light to moderate rain through the late afternoon and evening hours. We should pick up between a quarter and half inch before all is said and done. The rain will break up Monday night but some lingering patchy drizzle could remain until about sunrise Tuesday. It looks like the rest of Tuesday will be dry but clouds will be slow to thin until the afternoon hours. This will once again mute highs and allow us to only reach the middle 50s by late afternoon.
With clearing skies, we will start out colder on Wednesday. After lows in the middle 40s Tuesday, we will drop into the 30s for Wednesday morning. A developing southerly wind should pick us up into the upper 50s by late afternoon.
Strong storm system may bring high winds
A powerful area of low pressure will develop this week in the Midwest in response to a deep trough in the jet stream and a very strong upper jet streak aloft. This system is expected to go north of Chicago but the trailing cold front and resultant low level jet will still bring rough weather to the Ohio Valley. Expect increasing winds late Wednesday evening and even a late day temperature rally into the 60s. It does appear that we will stay dry through the day until the cold front hits around or shortly after midnight.
A thin line of showers (possibly no thunder) will develop along the cold front Wednesday evening and race east towards the Tri-State. With 50-60 mph winds just 1000-2000 thousand feet above the ground as the cold front approaches, there will be a risk for damaging winds as the line of rain moves through. This will be somewhat dependent on exactly how strong the low pressure area ends up as that will affect any amount of instability that develops and how strong the low level wind fields get. Regardless, it does appear that strong winds are a good possibility between 11 p.m. and 3 a.m. Wednesday night.
Behind the front, we will continue to see gusty winds thanks to the strong pressure gradient behind the system. Winds could gust as high as 35-40 mph through the day on Thursday. Highs will still make it into the 50s, but the wind will make it feel quite chilly. It will remain breezy on Friday with gusts of 25-30 mph likely. The core of the coldest air will move overhead as well which will keep highs in the middle 40s.
We finally calm the wind down for the weekend. It will remain cool with highs in the 50s and lows near or below freezing.