News pundits have spent quite a lot of time about who will be the favorite to receive the 2016 GOP presidential nomination in Cleveland next year, but how about the candidates who will have a hard time making it to the Iowa Caucus? Let’s spend a little time predicting the candidates that will ‘flame out’ of this year’s race.
Really, did anybody have the Louisiana governor as a favorite to get the party’s nomination? If you place monetary bets on him, then you need to prepare yourself to have a lighter wallet. Jindal is somebody who is considered a “base candidate,” a contender who only appeals to a certain segment of their base. But Jindal even has a hard time doing that, because the “I stand for God” platform has already been cornered by Ted Cruz and Mike Huckabee, two candidates who are polling much better than Jindal in the polls.
There are other problems too, such as his low approval numbers by both Democrats and Republicans in his home state, and the economic catastrophe his state has endured under his watch, not to mention crippling cuts to education of all sizes. Jindal could make it to Iowa, but don’t put your money on it.
You’re probably asking why nobody is paying attention to Santorum when he was the winner up in the 2012 race. Well, you have to remember that the 2012 race was filled with a bunch of jokes running for the White House, which made Santorum looked real good compared to who he was up against.
It’s like Modern Family in their first three seasons. They were the best comedy on ABC because their competition was so terrible, but now that Modern Family is surrounded by better shows, it doesn’t look as appealing as it once did.
That’s Rick Santorum today.
He’s still running on the same platform as 2012, and before that, 2008, but now he is surrounded by better and more experienced candidates, and he just doesn’t have much appeal anymore. Like Jindal, he could make it to Iowa, but look for him to drop out soon after, or if his poll numbers are still in the toilet, before.
George Pataki and Jim Gilmore
These two can be combined because let’s face it, nobody is giving these guys the time nor the day. Both Pataki and Gilmore are old-school Republicans, and in today’s GOP, old-school is scorned upon. In fact, Gilmore was the only Republican not invited to the next debate being held by CNN, so what does that tell you?
Rick Perry was a better governor than Jindal, but “Mr. Opps” is still being looked at as a bumbling klutz, even by his own voters in Texas. If you recall, Perry was the Bush of 2012, a candidate who came in as the front-runner and basically had the nomination in the bag, until his numerous gaffes caused him to slide out of the race.
Nobody in GOP land had forgotten about that, and he reminded us of the same Perry who shot himself in the foot in 2012 (yeah, that whole ‘Charleston massacre was an accident’ quip is still haunting him).
So let’s go out on the limb and say that Perry is not going to make it to Iowa, and he basically has no chance ever of becoming the next president. Heck, Greg Abbott, the man who succeeded Perry in Austin, may have a better shot at a career in Washington than Perry, and that’s saying something.