The spin coming from Hillary Clinton’s campaign isn’t helping her end her slide in the polls. Chris Cillizza, one of the Washington Post’s most partisan partisans, isn’t buying the Clinton campaign’s spin. His statement that “Hillary Clinton and her surrogates have spent lots of time over the past few days making the case that everything is going perfectly according to plan with her 2016 presidential campaign” is laced with sarcasm. His statement that “they are exactly where they want to be, to hear them tell it, and nothing that has happened to date — not the rise of Bernie Sanders, not her ongoing problems with maintaining a private e-mail server — has surprised them” is laced with both sarcasm and skepticism.
That’s the least of Hillary’s political problems. This Quinnipiac poll of the swing states of Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida is the stuff that nightmares are made of if you’re Hillary:
In general election match-ups in Florida:
Bush tops Clinton 49 – 38 percent and Rubio leads 51 – 39 percent while Trump gets 43 percent to Clinton’s 41 percent.
It isn’t surprising that Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio lead Hillary in Florida. That’s where they’re from. That Hillary trails Trump, albeit within the poll’s margin of error, should get Hillary’s undivided attention. That’s bad news but it isn’t nightmarish. Here’s where the nightmare starts for Hillary:
In general election match-ups:
Clinton gets 41 percent to 39 percent for Bush. Rubio has 42 percent to Clinton’s 40 percent while Clinton tops Trump 43 – 38 percent.
Trump leads among Republicans with 24 percent, followed by 13 percent for Carson and 10 percent for Rubio. No other candidate tops 7 percent, with 9 percent undecided. In general election match-ups:
Bush gets 43 percent to 40 percent for Clinton. Rubio tops Clinton 47 – 40 percent while Clinton beats Trump 45 – 40 percent.
The thought that Hillary trails Rubio in the three biggest swing states should frighten Hillary. She’s got 100% name recognition. The only way she can win in these match-ups against Sen. Rubio is by outperforming expectations with voter turnout. The other way she could win is by praying that Donald Trump is the nominee.
In summation, Hillary’s email scandal is hurting her in swing state after swing state. Florida, Pennsylvania and Ohio have a total of 67 electoral votes. Earlier this summer, Hillary trailed in the swing states of Colorado, Iowa and Virginia. Those three states have a total of 28 electoral votes. Finally, there aren’t any defections from solid red states. Those states that have voted for Republicans since 1980 have a total of 199 electoral votes.
Combining traditionally red states with this list of swing states where Republicans lead gives mainstream Republicans 294 electoral votes. Even if mainstream Republicans don’t win Pennsylvania, they’re still at 274, which is still a winning total.