If a potential voter listens to Republican front runner Donald Trump or conservative media, there’s a high probability that one would think that Hillary Clinton doesn’t have much of a chance in 2016. Despite negative rhetoric that is commonplace in Republican circles, the former Secretary of State is still the most likely candidate to be victorious on election night next November.
With Clinton’s e-mail controversy continuing to stay in the news, the campaign trail has been a bit bumpy. As Republicans hammer her at every turn, Clinton’s poll numbers have also begun to drop. In a recent poll by Quinnipiac University, 60 percent of those polled believe that Clinton lacks “honest and trustworthy” character traits. In a new poll released on August 28 by Reuters/Ipsos, Clinton’s popularity with Democratic voters is the lowest it’s been since 2012. With all the negativity that is now surrounding Clinton, she is still the most likely to win the presidency.
The Real Clear Politics average of most national polls show Clinton with the lead in hypothetical match ups against all top Republican candidates. Clinton leads against Trump, 45-21, against Jeb Bush, 42-40, and against Sen. Marco Rubio, 44-43. The biggest issue for each Republican running for president is their lack of traction with the fastest growing voting bloc in the country; Hispanics. Trump’s favorability with Hispanics is the worst of all party candidates, with 65 percent viewing him unfavorably, and no candidate getting better than net favorability rating of 11.
Republicans have attempted to focus hard on the e-mail controversy to discredit Clinton, but their claims don’t tell the whole story. As MSNBC has reported, Republican candidates like Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, and former Texas Gov. Rick Perry all either used private e-mail accounts, or deleted numerous e-mails, during their time in office.
Going back even further to 2007, the George W. Bush administration was involved in their own e-mail controversy. After eight U.S. attorneys were fired, the Bush White House allegedly “lost” many e-mails that dealt with the attorney firings, and did so on a private server that was set up by the Republican National Committee. While Bush himself was never found guilty of using private e-mails, adviser Karl Rove was known to use sever on occasion for “official business.”
Clinton still has a battle in front of her in the Democratic primary, especially with the rise of Sen. Bernie Sanders and the possibility of Vice President Joe Biden entering the race. If Clinton can weather the storm and make it to the general election, all signs point to her coming out victorious, even if it’s by a slim margin.