The third and fourth polls of voters in Iowa were made public on Monday, and the results confirmed two earlier polls that Dr. Ben Carson is now the leader of the Republican pack in Iowa. Last Thursday and Friday, Quinnipiac University and Bloomberg respectively, two polls had Carson leading Donald Trump by a wide margin. On Monday, Loras College Poll and Monmouth University Poll both showed growing and widespread support for Carson.
In another stunning poll just released this morning, a CBS/NYT Poll shows that Ben Carson has now surpassed Donald Trump and leads the Republican field in the race for the nomination. According to this national CBS/NYT Poll, 26 percent of Republican primary voters back Carson, giving him a four-point edge over Trump (22 percent). Support for Carson has quadrupled since August.
In the Monmouth University Poll covering Iowa, Ben Carson (32 percent) tops the list, with Donald Trump (18 percent) holding second, with Carson showing a 14 point lead over Trump. In Monmouth’s last poll of GOP caucusgoers in August, the two were tied for the top spot at 23 percent each. The next tier of candidates includes Ted Cruz (10 percent), Marco Rubio (10 percent), and Jeb Bush (8 percent). They are followed by Carly Fiorina (5 percent), Rand Paul (3 percent), Mike Huckabee (2 percent), Bobby Jindal (2 percent), and John Kasich (2 percent).
The year of the “outsider” still remains a strong theme in all of the polling, says Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ.
However, Donald Trump, an “outsider,” is clearly in trouble there. “Trump’s support has eroded in a number of key areas, with the beneficiary being another outside candidate. One question is how secure Carson’s new found support really is,” said Patrick Murray.
“While the leaderboard positions have changed, the ‘outsider’ candidates still dominate this race. The GOP’s leadership may hope that an establishment figure will emerge, but that may not happen while their voters remain dissatisfied with the party as a whole,” Murray added.
For his part, Donald Trump is even questioning these polls, in spite of the fact he was touting these very same polls not very long ago. “I don’t understand Iowa because frankly, I just left and we had tremendous crowds and tremendous enthusiasm,” Trump told CBS’ “Face the Nation” early Sunday morning.
Never one to run out of excuses, Trump is blaming Carson’s success thus far in Iowa on super PAC operations. “The people running his PAC are highly trained professionals I would imagine. And those people are using that PAC differently than you’re supposed to use a PAC,” Trump said. “They are running Iowa for him. They are in there. They’re doing all sorts of things that are totally different than what you’re supposed to be doing.
“Ben is in Iowa very little. He does not go to Iowa much,” Trump continued, accusing the retired neurosurgeon’s super PAC supporters of conducting the battleground fight for him in his stead. “They’re essentially campaigning for him in Iowa and that’s not what a PAC is supposed to be, it’s not supposed to happen that way.”