The large area of high pressure that brought several days of heat and humidity to the Capital Region will drift further out into the open waters of the Atlantic Ocean today. Thus, the high pressure area will lose its grip on our weather. This will allow a slowly advancing cold front to march eastward toward the region from the west. Showers and thunderstorms will become numerous as we head into the evening and overnight hours. Due to the high moisture content of the air in place over the region, some of this activity is likely to be associated with heavy rainfall.
The frontal system will move east of the region, into New England, by Friday morning before stalling along the New England coast Friday afternoon. Chances for precipitation appear to be greatest closer to the coast as result. High pressure at the surface will attempt to work into the region Friday afternoon and evening. Both temperatures and humidity levels will be lower behind the frontal system.
Fair weather looks to be over the region this weekend, with another system approaching Sunday night and into Monday. Unsettled weather returns to the region early next week with risks for showers and thunderstorms back in the forecast.
…Below is the official forecast for the Capital Region and vicinity…
Today: Increasing clouds, humid, and becoming breezy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the day. Heavy rainfall is possible within any shower or storm. High in the mid 80’s. South winds 5 to 10 MPH this morning, increasing to 10 to 20 MPH this afternoon with some higher gusts to near 25 MPH possible at times. Chance of rain is 30 percent.
Tonight: Overcast and muggy with showers and thunderstorms developing. Some of the storms may contain heavy rainfall. Low near 70. South winds 5 to 15 MPH during the evening, decreasing to 10 MPH or less overnight. Chance of rain is 100 percent.
Friday: A chance of a shower or thunderstorm early in the morning. Storms may contain heavy rainfall. Otherwise, intervals of clouds and sunshine by afternoon. High 80 to 85. Northwest winds 5 to 10 MPH. Chance of rain in the morning is 40 percent.
Friday Night: Partly cloudy and less humid. Low near 60. Light northwest winds.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 80 to 85. North to northwest winds 5 to 10 MPH.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. High near 80 and low near 60.
Monday: Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. High near 85 and low near 65.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. High near 80 and low near 60.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. High near 80 and low near 55.